You can never quite predict what the community’s response will be the very first time you engage in social media. Sure, you can ask other people. You can look at case studies. You can bring in an agency or hire a pro who’s done it before to guide you. But for all that, the first time is the first time. And yet, you can exert more control over the situation than you might think.
First, let’s be clear on the definition of ROI. I prefer the one that CEOs use: revenues and margins. Marketing objectives like “more awareness,” “higher opinion of our product/service” or “fewer people boycotting us” are objectives that put marketers on the path to dollars. With that in mind, social media metrics — like the number of clicks your blog posts get, the ratio of favorable/unfavorable comments, a jump in LinkedIn invites from prospects, total minutes customers spend reading your white papers — are clear measures of your progress on that path. In many ways, they’re the cleanest metrics B2B marketers have enjoyed. But don’t get so excited that you start to think they’re the goal. That’s the mistake PR people have often made counting articles and TV spots. No, it’s the dollars that matter.
Now let’s talk about how to predict the ROI of your FIRST social media effort.
First, you need a benchmark. Then, you’ll need an understanding of what strategies and tactics went into setting that mark. Ranked from most- to least-effective, here are your options:
1. Do a pilot project: Take a page from 14th century alchemists. If they’d never mixed two together chemicals before, they’d start out with a drop of each, not a bucket’s worth. If nothing blew up, they’d combine a little more, and then more again. Each time they’d look for reactions. And not just with their eyes. They’d listen for hissing or crackling. They’d sniff for changes in odor. They’d put prisms in front of the cocktail to look for changes in the color bands. They’d also wait. After all, a reaction could take hours or even days to appear. Social media pros should take the same approach.
Tell your audience it’s an experiment, which gives you permission to mess up and manages their expectations. If something’s working, do more of it and verify how the tactics can scale (i.e. for every three blog posts you get nine pickups, so for every six posts you should get 18, and so forth). If it doesn’t, drop it.
Agree with your team members at the beginning of the experiment that the numbers — not any one person’s ideas or beliefs — will guide the decision making process. That way subsequent steps are taken based on science, not politics. After the pilot, you’ll have your benchmark. You’ll know the amount of time and money it took to make the push, and the audience’s reaction. You subtract the two and see if, quantitatively, it was worth it. With those numbers in hand, you can try something on a larger scale, and know pretty accurately what the ROI will be. Remember, experience removes cost and heightens predictability, so pretty much everything in social media gets cheaper over time.
2. Use a competitor’s numbers: If a company that shares your space is using social media, it’s pretty easy to figure out their key metrics. Sites like Compete.com can tell you how many visitors per month come to their blog. You can also count the number and measure the tone of comments they’ve received over time. With Twitter, it’s even easier. You can easily see how many followers the company has, and there are lots of free analysis tools that will graph the competitor’s progress. Numbers of LinkedIn and Facebook group members, along with how many posts the company makes and responsiveness of the community are all measurable. With those figures in-hand, you’ve got a pretty good yard stick to compare yourself. Keep in mind, you have to have a good understanding of the strategies and tactics that are being deployed to achieve those numbers. That may take an experienced hand to reverse engineer it. And in many cases, the competitor will be using social media, but badly. If you see that they’re making mistakes, and you avoid them from the beginning, you should set a goal for how much above their benchmark you’ll go.
3. Community comparison: If none of your direct competitors are using social media, find a company that shares a similar audience. For example, if you’re an accounting firm trying to market to CFOs, the best comparison would be another firm. But if no company in that space is using social media, see if the industry trade group is using social media and use their numbers. Lacking that, nearly every industry has some passionate soul out there blogging and tweeting. You can use their metrics. It’s not the most accurate of yard sticks, but it’s a heck of a lot better than having no numbers at all.
Anyone else in the hivemind have ideas for how to carefully manage a B2B company’s first time in the social sphere?















